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Planning and Travel Demand with TransCAD


TransCAD is the most comprehensive, flexible, and capable travel demand modeling software ever created. TransCAD supports many styles of travel demand modeling including sketch planning methods, UTPS-style four-step demand models, advanced disaggregate modeling techniques, simultaneous models for multiple choices, and the most extensive set of traffic assignment models ever assembled for use by planners and traffic engineers.

TransCAD breaks new ground as a tool for transportation planners by streamlining and improving the demand modeling process. TransCAD is the only package designed to facilitate the implementation of best practices for travel forecasting and to provide a mechanism for advancing the state of the art in transportation modeling. Modeling with TransCAD is not limited to urban or regional demand forecasting, but is directly applicable for modeling passenger and freight flows at the state, national, and international level.


Demand Forecasting in a GIS Context

Travel forecasting models are used to predict changes in travel patterns and the utilization of the transportation system in response to changes in regional development, demographics, and transportation supply. Modeling travel demand is a challenging task, but one that is required for rational planning and evaluation of transportation systems.

TransCAD is the only planning package that is GIS-based and fully integrates geographic information system (GIS) and demand modeling capabilities. TransCAD is an extremely capable and robust GIS that includes many advanced features for transportation that are not available in other products.

There are many reasons why it is valuable to have a GIS as part of a travel demand forecasting package. First, GIS makes it possible for planning models to be much more accurate. For example, network distances are based on the actual shape of the road network and a correct representation of highway interchanges.

Second, the whole modeling process is more efficient. Data preparation is greatly facilitated and the database and visualization capabilities catch errors before they cause modeling problems. With TransCAD, you and others will have an easier time understanding how the model components behave. For all of these reasons, less staff time is needed to implement and maintain travel models.

A third important advantage of a GIS-based modeling system is the use of the GIS itself and GIS-derived measurements directly in the modeling process. In TransCAD, different modeling equations can easily be derived and applied for different geographic subareas. Similarly, TransCAD brings new and much-needed capabilities for measuring geographic accessibility.

Because they have similar architectures, TransCAD is the planning package that integrates best with other institutional GIS systems. TransCAD can import data from virtually all major GIS, CAD, and planning software packages. TransCAD is an open system and can export data in ASCII, shape files, dxf, and dbf formats. TransCAD also links easily to ArcView, ArcInfo, MapInfo, GIS+, and Maptitude.


TransCAD Modeling Capabilities

Standard TransCAD includes comprehensive tools for trip generation, trip distribution, mode split modeling, and traffic assignment. TransCAD includes all of the traditional UTPS models, quick response models with reduced data requirements, and advanced disaggregate demand models. Caliper continually enhances TransCAD to incorporate the most up-to-date methods for demand forecasting.

Trip Generation/Production

Sample Trip Generation MapThe goal of trip production is to estimate the number of trips, by purpose, that are produced or originate in each zone of a study area. Trip generation is performed by relating frequency of trips to the characteristics of the individuals, of the zone, and of the transportation network.

There are three primary tools that are used in modeling trip production, all of which are provided in TransCAD:

Cross-Classification: Cross-classification methods separate the population in an urban area into relatively homogenous groups based on certain socioeconomic characteristics. Then, average trip production rates per household or individual are empirically estimated for each classification. This creates a lookup table that may be used to forecast trip productions. In TransCAD, you can use your existing look-up tables, create new ones from survey data, and edit any of the values. TransCAD provides several default cross-classification tables including those for quick response methods.

Regression Models: TransCAD supports estimation and application of multivariable aggregate zonal models and disaggregate models at the household or individual level. The first method uses data aggregated at the zonal level, with the average number of trips per household in the zone as the dependent variable and average zonal characteristics as the explanatory variables. The second method uses disaggregate data at the household or individual level, with the number of trips made by a household or individual as the dependent variable and the household and personal characteristics as the explanatory variables.

Discrete Choice Models: Discrete choice models use disaggregate household or individual level data to estimate the probability with which any household or individual will make trips. The outcome can then be aggregated to predict the number of trips produced.

Sample Trip Attraction MapTrip Attraction

The goal of Trip Attraction is to predict the number of trips attracted to each zone or to a particular land use. In many ways, estimating attractions is similar to estimating trip productions. Thus, cross-classification, regression, and discrete choice methods can be used to estimate the number of trips attracted to a zone. TransCAD also includes Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) trip rate data for calculating trip attraction values for a single land use or mixed land uses.

Trip Balancing

In trip generation, separate models are used to predict productions and attractions. This invariably leads to a discrepancy between the number of intraregional trips produced in an area and the number of trips attracted to an area. To conserve trips, balancing methods are provided so that the number of attractions equals the number of productions. Trip generation and attraction can be balanced flexibly to productions or attractions or a linear combination thereof.

Trip Distribution

Trip distribution models are used to predict the spatial pattern of trips or other flows between origins and destinations. Models similar to those applied for trip distribution are often used to model commodity flows, retail trade, and store patronage.

TransCAD provides numerous tools with which to perform trip distribution, including procedures to implement growth factor methods, apply previously-calibrated gravity models, generate friction factors, and calibrate new model parameters.

In addition to doubly constrained trip distribution models that ensure that the output flow matrix from trip distribution matches the input productions and attractions, TransCAD includes tri-proportional models which allow for another dimension of constraints. In tri-proportional models, groups of cells in the P-A flow matrix are required to sum to specified values. TransCAD allows the additional dimension to be applied for both growth factor and gravity models.

Mode Split and Choice Analysis

Mode choice models are used to analyze and predict the choices that individuals or groups of individuals make in selecting the transportation modes that are used for particular types of trips. Typically, the goal is to predict the share or absolute number of trips made by mode.

An important objective in mode choice modeling is to predict the share of trips attracted to public transportation. TransCAD provides procedures for calibrating and forecasting mode choice models based on logit, regression, and cross-classification, and may be pursued at either a disaggregate or aggregate zonal level.

Estimation of the parameters in the multinomial logit model is performed in TransCAD by the method of maximum likelihood, which calculates the set of parameters that are “most likely” to have resulted in the choices observed in the data.

TransCAD supports choice set variation in both estimation and model application which is important for accurate model specification. TransCAD also provides support for nested logit models and for coding user-defined mode choice procedures in FORTRAN and C.

P-A to O-D and Time of Day Transformations

TransCAD includes comprehensive tools that enable you to:

  • Convert productions and attractions to origins and destinations
  • Decompose a 24-hour trip table matrix into hourly trip tables
  • Convert person trips to vehicle trips
  • Apply peak hour factors

Traffic Assignment

Sample Traffic Assignment map with Volume to CapacityTraffic assignment models are used to estimate the flow of traffic on a network and allow you to establish the traffic flow patterns and analyze congestion points. TransCAD provides a full complement of traffic assignment procedures that are used for modeling urban traffic. These procedures include numerous variants that are tailored for modeling transit, as well as intercity passenger and freight traffic.

These models take as input a matrix of flows that indicate the volume of traffic between origin and destination pairs. The flows for each O-D pair are loaded on the network based upon the travel time or impedance of the alternative paths that could carry this traffic.

Basic Traffic Assignment Methods available in TransCAD include:

  • All-Or-Nothing Assignment (AON)
  • STOCH Assignment
  • Incremental Assignment
  • Capacity Restraint
  • User Equilibrium (UE)
  • Stochastic User Equilibrium (SUE)
  • System Optimum Assignment (SO)

TransCAD also provides a wide variety of options available for the traffic assignment procedures. There is user control over link performance functions and parameters, treatment of transfer and turning penalties, pre-loading of network links, and calculation of additional output measures. These user controls are very conveniently set with system defaults and the ability to code exceptions for specific links and intersections. Critical link analysis is another traffic assignment option.

TransCAD produces individual and cumulative frequencies of different link volume ranges in both absolute and percentage terms, and the same information for volume-to-capacity ratios.

One output option is to generate data on cold start traffic. When this option is selected, TransCAD keeps track of the location and volume of traffic that is in the cold start mode. This quantity is required for air quality impact estimation.

TransCAD also provides many advanced traffic assignment procedures. These include procedures for:

  • Generalized-cost traffic assignment
  • Multi-mode vehicle assignment
  • Multiple user class traffic assignment,
  • Combined trip distribution-assignment
  • Assignment with volume-dependent turning delays and signal optimization

Public Transit

Public transit is a speciality of TransCAD, with capabilities that greatly exceed those of other planning packages. TransCAD has special data structures for handling transit routes in all their natural complexity. Routes may be stored, displayed, edited, and analyzed. An important feature is that transit routes can be directly placed on the streets so that interactions between autos and transit can be treated explicitly.

Special visualization capabilities for transit make it easy to display and label overlapping routes. There is an effective interactive route editor that makes it straightforward to enter new routes and modify existing ones.

TransCAD has the broadest set of transit pathfinding routines of any package and includes the methods found in other packages. The latest version has a new, generalized pathfinder that computes composite characteristics for overlapping transit routes. This pathfinder improves upon the UTPS, MINUTP, and EMME/2 methods and gives a good estimate of the waiting time that travelers would experience prior to boarding a transit route.

There are also the broadest set of transit assignment methods including some innovative methods not found in other packages. These include a stochastic user equilibrium method that deals with multiple service alternatives, vehicle capacity, and optionally with dwell time and user’s value of time. In New York City, the transit agencies have been using TransCAD for nearly a decade now because of these advanced capabilities.

Transit Networks and Paths

TransCAD has special tools and procedures for creating and working with transit networks. Transit fares can be specified as either flat or zonal. Using transit networks and fare structures, you can solve shortest path problems and calculate transit path attributes (i.e. skims).

Transit networks are used for the following:

  • Solving shortest path problems
  • Calculating shortest path attributes (i.e. creating transit skims)
  • Performing transit assignment

Transit Assignment

Sample transit assignment mapTransit assignment models are used to estimate the number of passengers that utilize links in a transit network as a function of transit level of service. These models take as input a matrix of passenger flows between origins and destinations and a transit network, and produce link level and aggregate ridership statistics. TransCAD includes an array of sophisticated transit network assignment procedures.

The transit assignment procedure lets you choose from six different assignment methods:

  • All-Or-Nothing
  • Optimal Strategies
  • UTPS Pathfinder
  • Generalized Pathfinder
  • User Equilibrium
  • Stochastic User Equilibrium

The first four are non-equilibrium methods. The last two models are equilibrium assignments, which take account of the capacity of transit service and the effect of ridership on crowding comfort and, optionally through dwell time effects, and travel time on the route. These methods distribute the flow between a particular origin and destination to multiple paths, based on their relative attractiveness.

The transit assignment procedure produces a table of ridership at every stop along each route in the transit network. Optional outputs include critical link analysis, boarding and alighting counts, and aggregate ridership counts.

With TransCAD you can have separate and fully integrated networks for bicycles and pedestrians. Pedestrian links can be full street networks. Walk links can be included in transit networks.

O-D Matrix Estimation

Accurate and up-to-date trip tables are critical inputs for transportation planning models. Traditionally, the principal method of collecting information on the spatial pattern of trips within urban areas has been the large scale home interview survey. Unfortunately, home interview surveys of the necessary sample size are prohibitively expensive and difficult to implement, and are therefore rarely done. In contrast, traffic counts on highway links are inexpensive to perform and are routinely collected in many areas. It is thus extremely attractive to have a method to create or update trip tables based upon traffic counts.

TransCAD provides a very flexible and effective procedure for estimating and/or updating an origin-destination matrix based upon a sample of network link traffic counts and an optional, initial or base trip table.


Freight Applications

Sample interstate freight flow map with desire linesStandard TransCAD has been designed to facilitate freight demand modeling as well as passenger models. An innovative Freight Dashboard™ provides an efficient interface for retrieving freight flow data by origin, destination, mode, and commodity. TransCAD offers a complete solution for modeling commodity flows and truck movements. Freight traffic can be easily assigned to the transportation network and there are also specialized assignment procedures available for rail waybill assignment.


Advanced Geographic Editing Tools

Sample advanced line editing mapNew editing tools provide an effective means of improving the geography and topology of planning networks that may have only simple, straight-line representations.

Specifically, Standard TransCAD includes tools for:

  • Dualizing, merging, and setting directionality of segments
  • Improving the geographical accuracy of line segments through conflation
  • Copying and pasting line segments from one layer to another
  • Creating highway interchanges with a minimum of effort.

Consequently, planning networks can now be fully realized as GIS entities and visualized directly with appropriate accuracy, shape, geometry, and directionality. Many users will find these tools indispensable for transforming TIGER/Line layers into a suitable basis for planning and traffic applications as well as for improving the line layers that are used for other types of transportation, including rail, transit, and air networks.


Data Access and Planning Utilities

TransCAD includes utilities that model builders will find indispensable for data preparation.

  • Geocoding: Virtually all forms of survey data can be analyzed in TransCAD. For most modeling purposes, each survey will be geocoded to the respondent’s primary location. For traveler surveys, each survey will most commonly be geocoded to their residence.
  • Access Census Data Directly: Census data are very valuable in urban transportation analysis. TransCAD comes with extensive Census data. TransCAD also provides three procedures for importing specialized Census data. Two of the procedures are for importing data from the Census Transportation Planning Package (CTPP). The CTPP data are among the most valuable datasets available for transportation planners. A third procedure imports TIGER/Line files.
  • Access the Public Use Microdata Samples (PUMS): PUMS contains complete household records from the US Census for a sample of the population, and is a valuable source of disaggregate data. The TransCAD procedure organizes the data so that you can open PUMS files directly and view the data either by household or by individual.
  • Import Networks and Trip Tables: TransCAD provides tools for importing networks and network data from a variety of stand-alone transportation planning packages. These networks are converted into GIS databases that can be used for all types of planning, modeling, and mapping applications. TransCAD provides a seamless import capability for transportation planning network files in MINUTP, EMME/2, TRIPS, QRSII, and TRANPLAN ASCII format. Usually preprocessing of the original files is not required.
  • Screenline Analysis: Screenline analysis compares the results of trip assignment with the traffic counts on roads. More precisely, it is a process of comparing the directional sum of ground count traffic volumes across a screenline or a cordon line with the directional sum of the assigned traffic volumes across the same screenline or cordon line. Screenline analysis is a useful tool for the calibration of trip assignment models, and it can also be used for more general purposes of calculating flows that cross a screenline.
  • Subarea Focusing: While forecasting transportation demand for a region, you may be interested in performing a more detailed investigation of traffic patterns within a subarea, such as the downtown area. To facilitate subarea analysis, TransCAD provides a procedure that lets you create an O-D trip table for that subarea. The reduced O-D table may be used for performing a traffic assignment on a subarea network which may be more detailed than the regional network.